If MIN visited BKN today, our model would lean Minnesota Timberwolves with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -12.3 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

5.0

Net Rating

-7.3

115.7

Offensive Rating

108.1

110.8

Defensive Rating

115.4

98.0

Pace

96.7

MIN (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

MIN 55-39 L2 Avg margin last 5: -19.8

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

MIN wins

2025-12-27 MIN 123 @ BKN 107 MIN W

2025-11-03 MIN 125 @ BKN 109 MIN W

2025-04-11 MIN 91 @ BKN 117 BKN W

2025-04-03 MIN 105 @ BKN 90 MIN W

2024-02-24 MIN 86 @ BKN 101 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score