If MIL visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +1.6 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

2.4

Net Rating

4.0

115.1

Offensive Rating

117.3

112.7

Defensive Rating

113.3

99.9

Pace

97.6

MIL (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

MIL 32-50 L1 Avg margin last 5: -3.8

L PHI

W BKN

L DET

L BKN

W MEM

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

MIL wins

2026-02-27 MIL 127 @ NYK 98 MIL W

2025-11-28 MIL 109 @ NYK 118 NYK W

2025-10-28 MIL 111 @ NYK 121 NYK W

2025-03-28 MIL 116 @ NYK 107 MIL W

2025-01-12 MIL 106 @ NYK 140 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score