If MIL visited BKN today, our model would lean Brooklyn Nets with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -9.7 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

2.4

Net Rating

-7.3

115.1

Offensive Rating

108.1

112.7

Defensive Rating

115.4

99.9

Pace

96.7

MIL (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

MIL 32-50 L1 Avg margin last 5: -3.8

L PHI

W BKN

L DET

L BKN

W MEM

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

MIL wins

2026-04-10 MIL 108 @ BKN 125 BKN W

2026-04-07 MIL 90 @ BKN 96 BKN W

2025-12-14 MIL 82 @ BKN 127 BKN W

2025-11-29 MIL 99 @ BKN 116 BKN W

2025-01-02 MIL 113 @ BKN 110 MIL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score