If MEM visited BKN today, our model would lean Brooklyn Nets with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -12.0 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.7

Net Rating

-7.3

117.2

Offensive Rating

108.1

112.6

Defensive Rating

115.4

103.7

Pace

96.7

MEM (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

MEM 25-57 L8 Avg margin last 5: -25.2

L HOU

L UTA

L DEN

L CLE

L MIL

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

MEM wins

2026-03-09 MEM 115 @ BKN 126 BKN W

2026-01-11 MEM 98 @ BKN 103 BKN W

2024-12-13 MEM 119 @ BKN 135 BKN W

2024-11-04 MEM 104 @ BKN 106 BKN W

2024-10-30 MEM 119 @ BKN 106 MEM W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score