If LAL visited PHI today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -7.5 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

1.2

Net Rating

-6.3

115.0

Offensive Rating

111.0

113.8

Defensive Rating

117.3

98.3

Pace

98.1

LAL (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

LAL 57-35 L4 Avg margin last 5: -8.8

L OKC

W HOU

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

LAL wins

2026-02-05 LAL 115 @ PHI 119 PHI W

2025-12-07 LAL 112 @ PHI 108 LAL W

2025-01-28 LAL 104 @ PHI 118 PHI W

2024-11-08 LAL 106 @ PHI 116 PHI W

2024-03-22 LAL 94 @ PHI 101 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score