If LAL visited CHI today, our model would lean Los Angeles Lakers with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -2.8 points for CHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

1.2

Net Rating

-1.6

115.0

Offensive Rating

113.2

113.8

Defensive Rating

114.8

98.3

Pace

103.6

LAL (Away) CHI (Home)

Recent Form

LAL 57-35 L4 Avg margin last 5: -8.8

L OKC

W HOU

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

Head-to-Head History

CHI wins

LAL wins

2026-03-12 LAL 130 @ CHI 142 CHI W

2026-01-26 LAL 129 @ CHI 118 LAL W

2025-03-27 LAL 117 @ CHI 119 CHI W

2025-03-22 LAL 146 @ CHI 115 LAL W

2024-01-25 LAL 132 @ CHI 141 CHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score