If LAL visited BKN today, our model would lean Los Angeles Lakers with a 83.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -8.5 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

1.2

Net Rating

-7.3

115.0

Offensive Rating

108.1

113.8

Defensive Rating

115.4

98.3

Pace

96.7

LAL (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

LAL 57-35 L4 Avg margin last 5: -8.8

L OKC

W HOU

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

LAL wins

2026-03-27 LAL 99 @ BKN 116 BKN W

2026-02-03 LAL 125 @ BKN 109 LAL W

2025-03-10 LAL 108 @ BKN 111 BKN W

2025-01-17 LAL 101 @ BKN 102 BKN W

2024-03-31 LAL 116 @ BKN 104 LAL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 83.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score