If LAC visited UTA today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -14.1 points for UTA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

-9.2

114.3

Offensive Rating

110.2

109.4

Defensive Rating

119.4

98.2

Pace

100.8

LAC (Away) UTA (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

Head-to-Head History

UTA wins

LAC wins

2026-01-27 LAC 115 @ UTA 103 LAC W

2026-01-01 LAC 101 @ UTA 118 UTA W

2025-10-22 LAC 108 @ UTA 129 UTA W

2025-02-13 LAC 120 @ UTA 116 LAC W

2025-02-08 LAC 110 @ UTA 130 UTA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score