If LAC visited TOR today, our model would lean Toronto Raptors with a 65.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -9.0 points for TOR at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

-4.1

114.3

Offensive Rating

109.6

109.4

Defensive Rating

113.6

98.2

Pace

100.6

LAC (Away) TOR (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

TOR 49-40 L1 Avg margin last 5: +2.2

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

W CLE

Head-to-Head History

TOR wins

LAC wins

2026-03-25 LAC 94 @ TOR 119 TOR W

2026-01-16 LAC 121 @ TOR 117 LAC W

2025-02-02 LAC 108 @ TOR 115 TOR W

2024-11-09 LAC 103 @ TOR 105 TOR W

2024-01-26 LAC 127 @ TOR 107 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score