If LAC visited PHI today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 65.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -11.2 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

-6.3

114.3

Offensive Rating

111.0

109.4

Defensive Rating

117.3

98.2

Pace

98.1

LAC (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

LAC wins

2026-02-02 LAC 128 @ PHI 113 LAC W

2025-11-17 LAC 108 @ PHI 110 PHI W

2024-11-24 LAC 125 @ PHI 99 LAC W

2024-11-06 LAC 98 @ PHI 110 PHI W

2024-03-27 LAC 108 @ PHI 107 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score