If LAC visited NOP today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -14.3 points for NOP at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

-9.4

114.3

Offensive Rating

109.7

109.4

Defensive Rating

119.1

98.2

Pace

99.8

LAC (Away) NOP (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

Head-to-Head History

NOP wins

LAC wins

2026-03-19 LAC 99 @ NOP 105 NOP W

2026-03-18 LAC 109 @ NOP 124 NOP W

2026-03-01 LAC 117 @ NOP 137 NOP W

2025-10-31 LAC 124 @ NOP 126 NOP W

2025-04-02 LAC 98 @ NOP 114 NOP W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score