If LAC visited DAL today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -6.2 points for DAL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

-1.3

114.3

Offensive Rating

113.7

109.4

Defensive Rating

115.0

98.2

Pace

100.2

LAC (Away) DAL (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

DAL 26-56 W1 Avg margin last 5: -2.0

W CHI

L SAS

L PHX

L LAC

W LAL

Head-to-Head History

DAL wins

LAC wins

2026-04-07 LAC 103 @ DAL 116 DAL W

2026-03-21 LAC 138 @ DAL 131 LAC W

2025-11-29 LAC 114 @ DAL 110 LAC W

2025-11-14 LAC 133 @ DAL 127 LAC W

2025-04-05 LAC 104 @ DAL 135 DAL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score