If LAC visited CHI today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 77.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -6.5 points for CHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

-1.6

114.3

Offensive Rating

113.2

109.4

Defensive Rating

114.8

98.2

Pace

103.6

LAC (Away) CHI (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

Head-to-Head History

CHI wins

LAC wins

2026-03-13 LAC 108 @ CHI 119 CHI W

2026-01-20 LAC 110 @ CHI 138 CHI W

2025-02-26 LAC 122 @ CHI 117 LAC W

2025-01-20 LAC 112 @ CHI 99 LAC W

2024-03-14 LAC 126 @ CHI 111 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 77.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score