If LAC visited CHA today, our model would lean Charlotte Hornets with a 74.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -14.0 points for CHA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.9

Net Rating

-9.1

114.3

Offensive Rating

106.7

109.4

Defensive Rating

115.7

98.2

Pace

98.2

LAC (Away) CHA (Home)

Recent Form

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

Head-to-Head History

CHA wins

LAC wins

2026-01-12 LAC 109 @ CHA 117 CHA W

2025-11-22 LAC 131 @ CHA 116 LAC W

2025-03-16 LAC 88 @ CHA 123 CHA W

2025-01-31 LAC 112 @ CHA 104 LAC W

2024-03-31 LAC 130 @ CHA 118 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score