If HOU visited BKN today, our model would lean Houston Rockets with a 63.3% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -11.9 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

4.6

Net Rating

-7.3

114.9

Offensive Rating

108.1

110.3

Defensive Rating

115.4

99.0

Pace

96.7

HOU (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

HOU 54-34 L1 Avg margin last 5: -1.2

L LAL

W LAL

L LAL

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

HOU wins

2026-01-01 HOU 120 @ BKN 96 HOU W

2025-10-27 HOU 109 @ BKN 137 BKN W

2025-02-04 HOU 97 @ BKN 99 BKN W

2025-02-01 HOU 110 @ BKN 98 HOU W

2024-01-27 HOU 104 @ BKN 106 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 63.3% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score