If GSW visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +0.8 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

3.2

Net Rating

4.0

114.2

Offensive Rating

117.3

111.0

Defensive Rating

113.3

99.4

Pace

97.6

GSW (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

GSW 37-45 L3 Avg margin last 5: -4.6

L LAC

L SAC

L LAL

W SAC

L HOU

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

GSW wins

2026-03-15 GSW 107 @ NYK 110 NYK W

2026-01-15 GSW 113 @ NYK 126 NYK W

2025-03-15 GSW 94 @ NYK 97 NYK W

2025-03-04 GSW 114 @ NYK 102 GSW W

2024-03-18 GSW 119 @ NYK 112 GSW W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score