If GSW visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 65.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +1.7 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

3.2

Net Rating

4.9

114.2

Offensive Rating

114.3

111.0

Defensive Rating

109.4

99.4

Pace

98.2

GSW (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

GSW 37-45 L3 Avg margin last 5: -4.6

L LAC

L SAC

L LAL

W SAC

L HOU

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

GSW wins

2026-04-12 GSW 110 @ LAC 115 LAC W

2026-03-02 GSW 114 @ LAC 101 GSW W

2026-01-05 GSW 102 @ LAC 103 LAC W

2025-10-28 GSW 79 @ LAC 98 LAC W

2025-04-13 GSW 124 @ LAC 119 GSW W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score