If DET visited WAS today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 77.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -14.3 points for WAS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

2.1

Net Rating

-12.2

114.6

Offensive Rating

105.8

112.5

Defensive Rating

118.0

100.3

Pace

101.8

DET (Away) WAS (Home)

Recent Form

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

WAS 17-65 L10 Avg margin last 5: -16.8

L CLE

L MIA

L CHI

L BKN

Head-to-Head History

WAS wins

DET wins

2026-03-19 DET 117 @ WAS 95 DET W

2026-03-17 DET 130 @ WAS 117 DET W

2026-02-05 DET 126 @ WAS 117 DET W

2025-11-10 DET 135 @ WAS 137 WAS W

2025-03-13 DET 129 @ WAS 125 DET W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 77.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score