If DET visited UTA today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 77.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -11.3 points for UTA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

2.1

Net Rating

-9.2

114.6

Offensive Rating

110.2

112.5

Defensive Rating

119.4

100.3

Pace

100.8

DET (Away) UTA (Home)

Recent Form

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

Head-to-Head History

UTA wins

DET wins

2025-12-26 DET 129 @ UTA 131 UTA W

2025-11-05 DET 103 @ UTA 114 UTA W

2025-03-03 DET 134 @ UTA 106 DET W

2024-12-19 DET 126 @ UTA 119 DET W

2024-01-03 DET 148 @ UTA 154 UTA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 77.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score