If DET visited CHA today, our model would lean Charlotte Hornets with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -11.2 points for CHA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

2.1

Net Rating

-9.1

114.6

Offensive Rating

106.7

112.5

Defensive Rating

115.7

100.3

Pace

98.2

DET (Away) CHA (Home)

Recent Form

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

Head-to-Head History

CHA wins

DET wins

2026-04-10 DET 118 @ CHA 100 DET W

2026-02-09 DET 110 @ CHA 104 DET W

2025-12-20 DET 86 @ CHA 112 CHA W

2025-02-09 DET 102 @ CHA 112 CHA W

2025-01-03 DET 94 @ CHA 98 CHA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score