If DAL visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +5.3 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.3

Net Rating

4.0

113.7

Offensive Rating

117.3

115.0

Defensive Rating

113.3

100.2

Pace

97.6

DAL (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

DAL 26-56 W1 Avg margin last 5: -2.0

W CHI

L SAS

L PHX

L LAC

W LAL

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

DAL wins

2026-01-19 DAL 114 @ NYK 97 DAL W

2025-11-19 DAL 113 @ NYK 111 DAL W

2025-03-25 DAL 113 @ NYK 128 NYK W

2024-11-27 DAL 114 @ NYK 129 NYK W

2024-02-08 DAL 122 @ NYK 108 DAL W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score