If DAL visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +6.2 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.3

Net Rating

4.9

113.7

Offensive Rating

114.3

115.0

Defensive Rating

109.4

100.2

Pace

98.2

DAL (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

DAL 26-56 W1 Avg margin last 5: -2.0

W CHI

L SAS

L PHX

L LAC

W LAL

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

DAL wins

2026-04-07 DAL 103 @ LAC 116 LAC W

2026-03-21 DAL 138 @ LAC 131 DAL W

2025-11-29 DAL 114 @ LAC 110 DAL W

2025-11-14 DAL 133 @ LAC 127 DAL W

2025-04-05 DAL 104 @ LAC 135 LAC W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score