If CLE visited PHI today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -15.5 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

9.2

Net Rating

-6.3

121.0

Offensive Rating

111.0

111.8

Defensive Rating

117.3

100.3

Pace

98.1

CLE (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

CLE 60-40 L4 Avg margin last 5: -9.2

L NYK

W DET

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

CLE wins

2026-03-09 CLE 101 @ PHI 115 PHI W

2026-01-16 CLE 117 @ PHI 115 CLE W

2026-01-14 CLE 133 @ PHI 107 CLE W

2025-11-05 CLE 121 @ PHI 132 PHI W

2025-01-24 CLE 129 @ PHI 132 PHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score