If CHI visited UTA today, our model would lean Utah Jazz with a 51.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -7.6 points for UTA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.6

Net Rating

-9.2

113.2

Offensive Rating

110.2

114.8

Defensive Rating

119.4

103.6

Pace

100.8

CHI (Away) UTA (Home)

Recent Form

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

Head-to-Head History

UTA wins

CHI wins

2026-01-14 CHI 126 @ UTA 128 UTA W

2025-11-16 CHI 147 @ UTA 150 UTA W

2025-03-17 CHI 111 @ UTA 97 CHI W

2024-11-04 CHI 135 @ UTA 126 CHI W

2024-03-06 CHI 119 @ UTA 117 CHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 51.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score