If CHI visited SAC today, our model would lean Sacramento Kings with a 58.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +2.2 points for SAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.6

Net Rating

0.6

113.2

Offensive Rating

115.9

114.8

Defensive Rating

115.3

103.6

Pace

98.9

CHI (Away) SAC (Home)

Recent Form

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

SAC 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -7.2

L POR

W GSW

L GSW

L LAC

W NOP

Head-to-Head History

SAC wins

CHI wins

2026-03-08 CHI 110 @ SAC 126 SAC W

2025-10-29 CHI 113 @ SAC 126 SAC W

2025-03-20 CHI 128 @ SAC 116 CHI W

2025-01-12 CHI 124 @ SAC 119 CHI W

2024-03-04 CHI 113 @ SAC 109 CHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 58.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score