If CHI visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +5.6 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.6

Net Rating

4.0

113.2

Offensive Rating

117.3

114.8

Defensive Rating

113.3

103.6

Pace

97.6

CHI (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

CHI wins

2026-04-03 CHI 96 @ NYK 136 NYK W

2026-02-22 CHI 105 @ NYK 99 CHI W

2025-11-02 CHI 116 @ NYK 128 NYK W

2025-10-31 CHI 125 @ NYK 135 NYK W

2025-02-20 CHI 111 @ NYK 113 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score