If CHI visited NOP today, our model would lean New Orleans Pelicans with a 71.1% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -7.8 points for NOP at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.6

Net Rating

-9.4

113.2

Offensive Rating

109.7

114.8

Defensive Rating

119.1

103.6

Pace

99.8

CHI (Away) NOP (Home)

Head-to-Head History

NOP wins

CHI wins

2025-12-31 CHI 118 @ NOP 134 NOP W

2025-12-14 CHI 114 @ NOP 104 CHI W

2025-11-24 CHI 130 @ NOP 143 NOP W

2025-01-14 CHI 119 @ NOP 113 CHI W

2024-10-23 CHI 111 @ NOP 123 NOP W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

68.1%

All Games

1358 tracked

75.7%

High Conf.

>65% picks

76.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 71.1% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.7% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score