If CHI visited LAC today, our model would lean Los Angeles Clippers with a 82.8% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +6.5 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.6

Net Rating

4.9

113.2

Offensive Rating

114.3

114.8

Defensive Rating

109.4

103.6

Pace

98.2

CHI (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

CHI wins

2026-03-13 CHI 108 @ LAC 119 LAC W

2026-01-20 CHI 110 @ LAC 138 LAC W

2025-02-26 CHI 122 @ LAC 117 CHI W

2025-01-20 CHI 112 @ LAC 99 CHI W

2024-03-14 CHI 126 @ LAC 111 CHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 82.8% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score