If CHI visited DET today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +3.7 points for DET at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.6

Net Rating

2.1

113.2

Offensive Rating

114.6

114.8

Defensive Rating

112.5

103.6

Pace

100.3

CHI (Away) DET (Home)

Recent Form

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

Head-to-Head History

DET wins

CHI wins

2026-02-21 CHI 126 @ DET 110 CHI W

2026-01-07 CHI 93 @ DET 108 DET W

2025-11-12 CHI 113 @ DET 124 DET W

2025-10-22 CHI 111 @ DET 115 DET W

2025-02-12 CHI 128 @ DET 110 CHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score