If CHI visited BKN today, our model would lean Chicago Bulls with a 61.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -5.7 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-1.6

Net Rating

-7.3

113.2

Offensive Rating

108.1

114.8

Defensive Rating

115.4

103.6

Pace

96.7

CHI (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

CHI wins

2026-02-09 CHI 115 @ BKN 123 BKN W

2026-01-18 CHI 102 @ BKN 124 BKN W

2026-01-16 CHI 109 @ BKN 112 BKN W

2025-12-03 CHI 113 @ BKN 103 CHI W

2025-03-13 CHI 110 @ BKN 116 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 61.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score