If CHA visited PHI today, our model would lean Charlotte Hornets with a 56.6% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +2.8 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.1

Net Rating

-6.3

106.7

Offensive Rating

111.0

115.7

Defensive Rating

117.3

98.2

Pace

98.1

CHA (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

CHA wins

2026-03-28 CHA 118 @ PHI 114 CHA W

2026-01-26 CHA 93 @ PHI 130 PHI W

2025-10-25 CHA 121 @ PHI 125 PHI W

2024-12-20 CHA 98 @ PHI 108 PHI W

2024-12-16 CHA 121 @ PHI 108 CHA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 56.6% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score