If CHA visited NYK today, our model would lean New York Knicks with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +13.1 points for NYK at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.1

Net Rating

4.0

106.7

Offensive Rating

117.3

115.7

Defensive Rating

113.3

98.2

Pace

97.6

CHA (Away) NYK (Home)

Recent Form

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

NYK 65-31 W11 Avg margin last 5: +21.4

W CLE

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

NYK wins

CHA wins

2026-04-12 CHA 110 @ NYK 96 CHA W

2026-03-26 CHA 103 @ NYK 114 NYK W

2025-12-03 CHA 104 @ NYK 119 NYK W

2025-11-26 CHA 129 @ NYK 101 CHA W

2025-03-20 CHA 98 @ NYK 115 NYK W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score