If CHA visited LAC today, our model would lean Charlotte Hornets with a 61.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +14.0 points for LAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.1

Net Rating

4.9

106.7

Offensive Rating

114.3

115.7

Defensive Rating

109.4

98.2

Pace

98.2

CHA (Away) LAC (Home)

Recent Form

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

LAC 42-40 W1 Avg margin last 5: +2.0

W GSW

L POR

L OKC

W DAL

W SAC

Head-to-Head History

LAC wins

CHA wins

2026-01-12 CHA 109 @ LAC 117 LAC W

2025-11-22 CHA 131 @ LAC 116 CHA W

2025-03-16 CHA 88 @ LAC 123 LAC W

2025-01-31 CHA 112 @ LAC 104 CHA W

2024-03-31 CHA 130 @ LAC 118 CHA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 61.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score