If CHA visited DET today, our model would lean Detroit Pistons with a 70.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +11.2 points for DET at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.1

Net Rating

2.1

106.7

Offensive Rating

114.6

115.7

Defensive Rating

112.5

98.2

Pace

100.3

CHA (Away) DET (Home)

Recent Form

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

DET 67-29 L1 Avg margin last 5: -6.0

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

Head-to-Head History

DET wins

CHA wins

2026-04-10 CHA 118 @ DET 100 CHA W

2026-02-09 CHA 110 @ DET 104 CHA W

2025-12-20 CHA 86 @ DET 112 DET W

2025-02-09 CHA 102 @ DET 112 DET W

2025-01-03 CHA 94 @ DET 98 DET W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 70.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score