If CHA visited BKN today, our model would lean Charlotte Hornets with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +1.8 points for BKN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-9.1

Net Rating

-7.3

106.7

Offensive Rating

108.1

115.7

Defensive Rating

115.4

98.2

Pace

96.7

CHA (Away) BKN (Home)

Recent Form

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

Head-to-Head History

BKN wins

CHA wins

2026-03-31 CHA 117 @ BKN 86 CHA W

2025-12-01 CHA 103 @ BKN 116 BKN W

2025-10-22 CHA 117 @ BKN 136 BKN W

2025-03-08 CHA 102 @ BKN 105 BKN W

2025-02-10 CHA 89 @ BKN 97 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score