If BKN visited UTA today, our model would lean Utah Jazz with a 65.2% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -1.9 points for UTA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-9.2

108.1

Offensive Rating

110.2

115.4

Defensive Rating

119.4

96.7

Pace

100.8

BKN (Away) UTA (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

Head-to-Head History

UTA wins

BKN wins

2026-01-30 BKN 109 @ UTA 99 BKN W

2025-12-04 BKN 123 @ UTA 110 BKN W

2025-01-12 BKN 111 @ UTA 112 UTA W

2024-12-21 BKN 105 @ UTA 94 BKN W

2024-01-29 BKN 114 @ UTA 147 UTA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.2% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score