If BKN visited TOR today, our model would lean Toronto Raptors with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +3.2 points for TOR at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-4.1

108.1

Offensive Rating

109.6

115.4

Defensive Rating

113.6

96.7

Pace

100.6

BKN (Away) TOR (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

TOR 49-40 L1 Avg margin last 5: +2.2

L CLE

W CLE

L CLE

W CLE

Head-to-Head History

TOR wins

BKN wins

2026-04-12 BKN 101 @ TOR 136 TOR W

2025-12-21 BKN 81 @ TOR 96 TOR W

2025-11-23 BKN 109 @ TOR 119 TOR W

2025-11-11 BKN 119 @ TOR 109 BKN W

2025-04-06 BKN 120 @ TOR 109 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score