If BKN visited SAS today, our model would lean San Antonio Spurs with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +4.5 points for SAS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-2.8

108.1

Offensive Rating

113.5

115.4

Defensive Rating

116.3

96.7

Pace

100.1

BKN (Away) SAS (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

SAS 75-26 W3 Avg margin last 5: +10.2

W OKC

L OKC

W OKC

Head-to-Head History

SAS wins

BKN wins

2026-02-26 BKN 126 @ SAS 110 BKN W

2025-10-26 BKN 107 @ SAS 118 SAS W

2025-03-04 BKN 113 @ SAS 127 SAS W

2024-12-27 BKN 96 @ SAS 87 BKN W

2024-03-17 BKN 115 @ SAS 122 SAS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score