If BKN visited SAC today, our model would lean Sacramento Kings with a 67.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +7.9 points for SAC at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

0.6

108.1

Offensive Rating

115.9

115.4

Defensive Rating

115.3

96.7

Pace

98.9

BKN (Away) SAC (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

SAC 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -7.2

L POR

W GSW

L GSW

L LAC

W NOP

Head-to-Head History

SAC wins

BKN wins

2026-03-29 BKN 99 @ SAC 116 SAC W

2026-03-22 BKN 122 @ SAC 126 SAC W

2025-01-27 BKN 110 @ SAC 96 BKN W

2024-11-24 BKN 108 @ SAC 103 BKN W

2024-04-07 BKN 107 @ SAC 77 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 67.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score