If BKN visited POR today, our model would lean Portland Trail Blazers with a 65.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +4.6 points for POR at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-2.7

108.1

Offensive Rating

111.0

115.4

Defensive Rating

113.7

96.7

Pace

99.5

BKN (Away) POR (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

POR 43-44 L3 Avg margin last 5: -12.4

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

Head-to-Head History

POR wins

BKN wins

2026-03-23 BKN 99 @ POR 134 POR W

2026-03-16 BKN 114 @ POR 95 BKN W

2025-02-28 BKN 121 @ POR 102 BKN W

2025-01-14 BKN 132 @ POR 114 BKN W

2024-01-17 BKN 103 @ POR 105 POR W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score