If BKN visited PHI today, our model would lean Philadelphia 76ers with a 89.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +1.0 points for PHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-6.3

108.1

Offensive Rating

111.0

115.4

Defensive Rating

117.3

96.7

Pace

98.1

BKN (Away) PHI (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

PHI 49-44 L4 Avg margin last 5: -16.0

L NYK

W BOS

Head-to-Head History

PHI wins

BKN wins

2026-03-14 BKN 97 @ PHI 104 PHI W

2025-12-23 BKN 114 @ PHI 106 BKN W

2025-11-28 BKN 115 @ PHI 103 BKN W

2025-11-02 BKN 129 @ PHI 105 BKN W

2025-02-22 BKN 105 @ PHI 103 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 89.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score