If BKN visited NOP today, our model would lean New Orleans Pelicans with a 74.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -2.1 points for NOP at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-9.4

108.1

Offensive Rating

109.7

115.4

Defensive Rating

119.1

96.7

Pace

99.8

BKN (Away) NOP (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

NOP 26-56 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.2

L MIN

L BOS

W UTA

L ORL

L SAC

Head-to-Head History

NOP wins

BKN wins

2026-01-14 BKN 113 @ NOP 116 NOP W

2025-12-06 BKN 101 @ NOP 119 NOP W

2025-04-08 BKN 114 @ NOP 119 NOP W

2024-11-11 BKN 107 @ NOP 105 BKN W

2024-03-19 BKN 104 @ NOP 91 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score