If BKN visited MIN today, our model would lean Minnesota Timberwolves with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +12.3 points for MIN at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

5.0

108.1

Offensive Rating

115.7

115.4

Defensive Rating

110.8

96.7

Pace

98.0

BKN (Away) MIN (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

MIN 55-39 L2 Avg margin last 5: -19.8

L SAS

W SAS

L SAS

Head-to-Head History

MIN wins

BKN wins

2025-12-27 BKN 123 @ MIN 107 BKN W

2025-11-03 BKN 125 @ MIN 109 BKN W

2025-04-11 BKN 91 @ MIN 117 MIN W

2025-04-03 BKN 105 @ MIN 90 BKN W

2024-02-24 BKN 86 @ MIN 101 MIN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score