If BKN visited MIL today, our model would lean Milwaukee Bucks with a 65.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +9.7 points for MIL at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

2.4

108.1

Offensive Rating

115.1

115.4

Defensive Rating

112.7

96.7

Pace

99.9

BKN (Away) MIL (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

MIL 32-50 L1 Avg margin last 5: -3.8

L PHI

W BKN

L DET

L BKN

W MEM

Head-to-Head History

MIL wins

BKN wins

2026-04-10 BKN 108 @ MIL 125 MIL W

2026-04-07 BKN 90 @ MIL 96 MIL W

2025-12-14 BKN 82 @ MIL 127 MIL W

2025-11-29 BKN 99 @ MIL 116 MIL W

2025-01-02 BKN 113 @ MIL 110 BKN W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 65.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score