If BKN visited IND today, our model would lean Indiana Pacers with a 74.7% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +9.4 points for IND at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

2.1

108.1

Offensive Rating

115.4

Defensive Rating

113.3

96.7

Pace

100.8

BKN (Away) IND (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

IND 19-63 L2 Avg margin last 5: -4.6

L DET

L PHI

W BKN

L MIN

L CLE

Head-to-Head History

IND wins

BKN wins

2026-04-09 BKN 123 @ IND 94 BKN W

2026-02-11 BKN 115 @ IND 110 BKN W

2025-11-05 BKN 112 @ IND 103 BKN W

2025-03-22 BKN 103 @ IND 108 IND W

2025-03-20 BKN 99 @ IND 105 IND W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 74.7% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score