If BKN visited HOU today, our model would lean Houston Rockets with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +11.9 points for HOU at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

4.6

108.1

Offensive Rating

114.9

115.4

Defensive Rating

110.3

96.7

Pace

99.0

BKN (Away) HOU (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

HOU 54-34 L1 Avg margin last 5: -1.2

L LAL

W LAL

L LAL

Head-to-Head History

HOU wins

BKN wins

2026-01-01 BKN 120 @ HOU 96 BKN W

2025-10-27 BKN 109 @ HOU 137 HOU W

2025-02-04 BKN 97 @ HOU 99 HOU W

2025-02-01 BKN 110 @ HOU 98 BKN W

2024-01-27 BKN 104 @ HOU 106 HOU W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score