If BKN visited CHI today, our model would lean Chicago Bulls with a 67.4% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +5.7 points for CHI at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-1.6

108.1

Offensive Rating

113.2

115.4

Defensive Rating

114.8

96.7

Pace

103.6

BKN (Away) CHI (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

CHI 31-51 L2 Avg margin last 5: -2.6

L DAL

L ORL

W WAS

L PHX

Head-to-Head History

CHI wins

BKN wins

2026-02-09 BKN 115 @ CHI 123 CHI W

2026-01-18 BKN 102 @ CHI 124 CHI W

2026-01-16 BKN 109 @ CHI 112 CHI W

2025-12-03 BKN 113 @ CHI 103 BKN W

2025-03-13 BKN 110 @ CHI 116 CHI W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 67.4% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score