If BKN visited CHA today, our model would lean Charlotte Hornets with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -1.8 points for CHA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

-9.1

108.1

Offensive Rating

106.7

115.4

Defensive Rating

115.7

96.7

Pace

98.2

BKN (Away) CHA (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

CHA 44-38 W1 Avg margin last 5: +4.0

W NYK

L DET

L BOS

W MIN

W IND

Head-to-Head History

CHA wins

BKN wins

2026-03-31 BKN 117 @ CHA 86 BKN W

2025-12-01 BKN 103 @ CHA 116 CHA W

2025-10-22 BKN 117 @ CHA 136 CHA W

2025-03-08 BKN 102 @ CHA 105 CHA W

2025-02-10 BKN 89 @ CHA 97 CHA W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score