If BKN visited BOS today, our model would lean Boston Celtics with a 100.0% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of +16.7 points for BOS at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

-7.3

Net Rating

9.4

108.1

Offensive Rating

119.5

115.4

Defensive Rating

110.1

96.7

Pace

96.6

BKN (Away) BOS (Home)

Recent Form

BKN 20-62 L3 Avg margin last 5: -13.8

L TOR

L MIL

L IND

W MIL

W WAS

BOS 59-30 L3 Avg margin last 5: +0.4

L PHI

W PHI

Head-to-Head History

BOS wins

BKN wins

2026-02-27 BKN 111 @ BOS 148 BOS W

2026-01-23 BKN 130 @ BOS 126 BKN W

2025-11-21 BKN 113 @ BOS 105 BKN W

2025-11-18 BKN 113 @ BOS 99 BKN W

2025-03-18 BKN 96 @ BOS 104 BOS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 100.0% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score