If BOS visited UTA today, our model would lean Boston Celtics with a 81.5% win probability. That reflects a season-long net rating edge of -18.6 points for UTA at home (plus ELO, rest, and recent form factored in).

Hypothetical matchup — these teams aren't scheduled to play. The model updates daily as ratings and ELO move.

Team Stats Comparison

2025–26 Season

9.4

Net Rating

-9.2

119.5

Offensive Rating

110.2

110.1

Defensive Rating

119.4

96.6

Pace

100.8

BOS (Away) UTA (Home)

Recent Form

BOS 59-30 L3 Avg margin last 5: +0.4

L PHI

W PHI

UTA 22-60 L1 Avg margin last 5: -13.2

L LAL

W MEM

L NOP

L OKC

L HOU

Head-to-Head History

UTA wins

BOS wins

2025-12-30 BOS 129 @ UTA 119 BOS W

2025-11-03 BOS 105 @ UTA 103 BOS W

2025-03-21 BOS 121 @ UTA 99 BOS W

2025-03-10 BOS 108 @ UTA 114 UTA W

2024-03-12 BOS 123 @ UTA 107 BOS W

How Often Has the Model Been Right?

Verified track record across every prediction we've made — not specific to this matchup.

67.1%

All Games

7146 tracked

75.1%

High Conf.

>65% picks

80.0%

Last 50

recent games

The model is an isotonic-calibrated XGBoost classifier — a 81.5% confidence above means "the model picked teams at this confidence level and was right about 75.1% of the time" historically.

See full track record with calibration & Brier score